Mitsubishi Pajero Evolution
1997–2000
Lowest price
£20,101
Since 2020
Median price
£24,000
Since 2020 · n=5
Highest price
£32,250
Since 2020
Sold cars
6
All time
Sell-through
100%
Of 6 lots
Based on 6 verified auction results
£26,750
Market value · recent verified sales
-10.0%
12-month change
Wait or Sell
Prices declining. Sellers should consider acting; buyers should wait.
Median sold price down 10.0% over the last 12 months. Loss is likely to continue, especially for this segment.
MSRP
—
Collectibility
8/10
Highly Collectible
3-Year Forecast
£21,824
-18%
5-Year Forecast
£20,476
-23%
Estimates based on 5 verified United Kingdom sales.
Market scores
48
Desirability
Thin
30
Liquidity
Poor
10
Resale Outlook
Option premiums
What every option is worth.
Built ≤ 1997
+£3,272+14%7 with · 6 without · med confidence
Premiums compare the median price of sales with each option against comparable sales without it, mined from verified auction listings. Sales are pooled across markets on a relative-price basis, so exchange rates and market levels can't skew the split. Options interact in ways a one-at-a-time split can’t capture — treat each premium as directional rather than gospel.
Marque analyst note
The Mitsubishi Pajero Evolution is trading at a median of £26,750 in the UK market, down 10 percent over the past year. The SELL signal reflects meaningful downward momentum in a segment where this model was expected to hold value more steadily.
Supply remains extremely tight, with only five tracked sales in the past 12 months against a total sample of six vehicles recorded. This thin liquidity means both buyers and sellers face friction; finding willing counterparties takes time, and price discovery is difficult when transactions are this sparse.
The Pajero Evolution's standing as highly collectible—with only 2,693 units produced—derives from its homologation special status and rally pedigree rather than mainstream desirability. The "appreciating classic" classification conflicts with current market behavior, signaling that the investment thesis may be recalibrating downward as competition from other appreciating Japanese classics intensifies.
Current pricing projections suggest sustained weakness ahead. The three-year base case sits at £21,824, representing an 18.4 percent decline from today, while the five-year base case reaches £20,476, a further 5.4 percent drop. These forecasts assume no major shift in collector appetite or supply dynamics.
The moderate desirability rating and thin transaction frequency suggest this market lacks the speculative heat that typically drives rallies in rare Japanese vehicles. Owners should be prepared for patient holding periods and meaningful haircuts on exit; the model's high collectibility score alone is not translating to price appreciation at present.
Depreciation Benchmark
- Current avg value£26,750
- Annual appr. rate-10.0%/yr
- Segment average+3.0 to +9.5%/yr
Vehicle History Signals
- Auction lots tracked14
- Damage or salvage declared0 (0.0%)
- No damage declared14 (100.0%)
Est. Annual Ownership Costs
- Insurance (agreed value)£450
- Maintenance£900
- Storage£2,400
- Depreciation— (appreciating)
- Total annual cost£3,750
Market Liquidity
- Active Listings0
- Sales Last 12 Months1
- Sell-Through17%
Market Snapshot
- Active Listings0
- Avg Sale Price£25,120
- Avg Mileage at Sale—
- Recent Price Range£20,101 – £32,250
- Total Sales Tracked6
Recent sales
Indicative only — not investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future value.