BMW M2 (G87)

The BMW M2 G87 in Australia has climbed to a median of AUD $87,800, up 10.9 percent over the past year, though this signal should be weighted carefully given the thin sample size of just three recorded sales. The car entered the market at AUD $132,000, meaning current pricing reflects roughly 33 percent depreciation from list.

Activity remains sparse, with only three transactions tracked over twelve months and no active listings at the time of this report. This liquidity constraint makes price discovery unreliable and suggests buyers and sellers face friction in matching; any individual sale can skew the median meaningfully in either direction.

The G87 remains a depreciating modern sports car with modest demand and low collectibility scores. BMW's M2 lineage holds appeal to enthusiasts, but the latest generation has not yet established itself as a future classics candidate in the Australian market, and production volumes have not conferred scarcity value sufficient to alter its trajectory.

Base-case projections signal further softening ahead. The three-year outlook points to AUD $70,590—a 19.6 percent decline from current levels—while the five-year base case settles at AUD $67,103, implying a cumulative 23.6 percent loss. These forecasts assume typical modern depreciation curves absent significant collectibility inflection.

The hold-or-wait posture reflects low confidence in near-term upside and the structural headwinds facing young, high-output BMWs in secondary markets. Prospective buyers should treat current pricing as an entry point into an asset with limited evidence of appreciation potential, while owners may benefit from patience before committing to sale in this thin liquidity environment.