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Australia market

BMW M4 (G82)

2021–present

Add to Garage
  • Lowest price

    $121,500

    Since 2020

  • Median price

    $121,500

    Since 2020 · n=1

  • Highest price

    $121,500

    Since 2020

  • Sold cars

    1

    All time

  • Sell-through

    100%

    Of 1 lots

BMW M4

Based on 1 verified auction result

SELLDepreciatingmedium confidence

$121,500

Market value · recent verified sales

-10.6%

12-month change

Wait or Sell

Prices declining. Sellers should consider acting; buyers should wait.

Median sold price down 10.6% over the last 12 months. Loss is likely to continue, especially for newer performance cars in years 1-3.

MSRP

≈$166,000

£82,000 UK list

Collectibility

3/10

Modest Demand

3-Year Forecast

$109,723

-10%

5-Year Forecast

$108,626

-11%

Estimates pool 9 verified sales across United States, United Kingdom, Australia — cross-market prices FX-adjusted at Jul 2026 rates.

Market scores

18

Desirability

Illiquid

10

Liquidity

Poor

10

Resale Outlook

Option premiums

What every option is worth.

  • Built ≤ 2022

    +$31,104+26%

    6 with · 3 without · low confidence

Premiums compare the median price of sales with each option against comparable sales without it, mined from verified auction listings. Sales are pooled across markets on a relative-price basis, so exchange rates and market levels can't skew the split. Options interact in ways a one-at-a-time split can’t capture — treat each premium as directional rather than gospel.

Marque analyst note

The BMW M4 G82 sits at a median of AUD $121,500 in the Australian market, representing a 10.6 percent decline over the past twelve months. The sell signal reflects ongoing depreciation pressure on this modern performance sedan, with no active listings currently tracking.

Data coverage remains extremely limited, with only a single transaction recorded over the tracked period. This illiquid condition means price discovery is difficult and transaction velocity is negligible, creating wide bid-ask spreads for any seller attempting to move inventory in the near term.

The G82 M4 is classified as a depreciating modern with very low desirability in the collectible space. At this stage in its lifecycle, the car sits squarely in the new-car depreciation curve rather than showing any signs of collectible floor formation or stability.

The original MSRP of AUD $166,000 underscores how sharply values have eroded from list price. The current median represents a 27 percent discount to that entry point, a typical trajectory for recent high-performance BMWs without special provenance or low mileage commanding a premium.

Base projections suggest continued softness, with values drifting to approximately AUD $109,700 over three years and AUD $108,600 by year five. Absent a meaningful shift in collectibility perception or supply constraints, the M4 G82 is expected to track general depreciation patterns rather than stabilize or appreciate.

Sellers holding Australian-market examples should not expect a recovery cycle in the foreseeable horizon. The "wait or sell" posture reflects a market where holding costs outpace any realistic price recovery, and liquidity remains the primary constraint for exit timing.

Depreciation Benchmark

  • MSRP (when new)≈$166,000 (£82,000 UK list)
  • Current avg value$121,500
  • Total appreciation-27%
  • Annual appr. rate-10.6%/yr
  • Segment average−10 to −25%/yr (early years)
MSRP converted from the UK list price at Jul 2026 rates — local launch pricing (taxes, import duty) may have differed. Appreciation is measured against the converted figure.

Vehicle History Signals

  • Auction lots tracked9
  • Damage or salvage declared0 (0.0%)
  • No damage declared9 (100.0%)
No damage or salvage declarations found in the titles and descriptions of the auction lots we track for this model. That's a good sign, not a guarantee — always commission a professional inspection and history check before buying.

Est. Annual Ownership Costs

  • Insurance (agreed value)$1,020
  • Maintenance$3,050
  • Storage$4,870
  • Depreciation$7,310
  • Total annual cost$16,250

Market Liquidity

  • Active Listings0
  • Sales Last 12 Months0
  • Sell-Through0%

Market Snapshot

  • Active Listings0
  • Avg Sale Price$121,500
  • Avg Mileage at Sale
  • Recent Price Range$121,500 – $121,500
  • Total Sales Tracked1

Recent sales

  • $121,500

    Collecting Cars · 10 Feb 2025

Indicative only — not investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future value.