Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution IX
2005–2007
Lowest price
$24,500
Since 2020
Median price
$46,250
Since 2020 · n=3
Highest price
$47,500
Since 2020
Sold cars
3
All time
Sell-through
100%
Of 3 lots

Based on 3 verified auction results
$46,250
Market value · recent verified sales
-25.0%
12-month change
Wait or Sell
Prices declining. Sellers should consider acting; buyers should wait.
Median sold price down 25.0% over the last 12 months. Loss is likely to continue, especially for this segment.
MSRP
—
Collectibility
5/10
Collectible
3-Year Forecast
$24,220
-48%
5-Year Forecast
$19,952
-57%
Estimates based on 3 verified Australia sales.
Market scores
34
Desirability
Thin
30
Liquidity
Poor
10
Resale Outlook
Marque analyst note
The Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution IX in the Australian market is trading at a median of AUD $46,250, having fallen 25% over the past twelve months and signaling a SELL environment. The sharp depreciation reflects broader softness in the modern classic segment, though confidence in this trend remains moderate given the limited transaction sample.
Liquidity is thin, with only three confirmed sales tracked over the past year and no active listings currently recorded. This scarcity of transactions makes pricing volatile and suggests buyers should expect extended holding periods or significant negotiation leverage when attempting to move inventory.
The Lancer Evolution IX occupies a stable modern classic tier with a collectibility score of 5, yet desirability metrics remain low in the current market. Production volume and specification details are not available, but the combination of thin liquidity and depressed appetite suggests the broader enthusiast base is rotating capital elsewhere.
Base projections show material downside over the medium term, with values forecast to reach approximately AUD $24,220 by year three (a 47.6% decline from current levels) and AUD $19,952 by year five (56.9% below today). These forecasts assume continued depreciation absent a significant shift in collector sentiment toward Japanese performance models from the 2000s era.
For holders, the risk-reward tilts toward managing exposure. The combination of negative momentum, scarce transaction activity, and pronounced long-term depreciation suggests waiting out further stabilization or accepting near-term losses rather than holding in anticipation of recovery.
Depreciation Benchmark
- Current avg value$46,250
- Annual appr. rate-25.0%/yr
Vehicle History Signals
- Auction lots tracked15
- Damage or salvage declared0 (0.0%)
- No damage declared15 (100.0%)
Est. Annual Ownership Costs
- Insurance (agreed value)$910
- Maintenance$1,830
- Storage$4,870
- Depreciation$2,840
- Total annual cost$10,450
Market Liquidity
- Active Listings0
- Sales Last 12 Months1
- Sell-Through33%
Market Snapshot
- Active Listings0
- Avg Sale Price$39,417
- Avg Mileage at Sale—
- Recent Price Range$24,500 – $47,500
- Total Sales Tracked3
Recent sales
Indicative only — not investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future value.