Pontiac Firebird Trans Am (2nd gen)
1970–1981

$150,000
Market value · recent verified sales
-25.0%
12-month change
Wait or Sell
Prices declining. Sellers should consider acting; buyers should wait.
Median sold price down 25.0% over the last 12 months. Loss is likely to continue, especially for this segment.
Modelled estimate — automatically replaced with verified sold lots as our sources index more results for this car in Australia.
MSRP
—
Collectibility
5/10
Collectible
3-Year Forecast
$78,552
-48%
5-Year Forecast
$64,709
-57%
Estimates based on 49 verified Australia sales.
Market scores
20
Desirability
Illiquid
10
Liquidity
Poor
10
Resale Outlook
Option premiums
What every option is worth.
Manual gearbox
+$125,417+84%22 with · 24 without · high confidence
Limited-slip diff
−$75,718-50%6 with · 43 without · med confidence
Built ≤ 1978
+$41,667+28%26 with · 19 without · high confidence
Premiums compare the median price of sales with each option against comparable sales without it, mined from verified auction listings. Options interact in ways a one-at-a-time split can’t capture — treat each premium as directional rather than gospel.
Marque analyst note
The second-generation Pontiac Firebird Trans Am is trading at a median of AUD $150,000 in the Australian market, but sentiment has turned decisively negative with a 25% year-on-year decline and a high-confidence sell signal in place.
Liquidity conditions are severely constrained, with zero tracked sales over the past twelve months and no active listings currently visible. This absence of transaction data makes price discovery difficult and suggests genuine scarcity of buyer interest rather than healthy market thinness.
As a stable modern classic with low desirability metrics, the Trans Am occupies a precarious position in the collector hierarchy. While the model carries legitimate period significance, current Australian demand appears insufficient to support its present valuation or cushion further downside.
The outlook is materially challenged across both medium and long-term horizons. Base projections indicate a decline to AUD $78,552 within three years (a 47.6% slide) and further compression to AUD $64,709 by year five (56.9% total loss). These trajectories reflect structural softness in demand rather than cyclical headwinds.
Sellers holding examples of this generation should treat the current pricing window as a closing opportunity. The combination of illiquidity, depreciating status, and steep forward projections suggests waiting for better market conditions is unlikely to improve outcomes materially.
Depreciation Benchmark
- Current avg value$150,000
- Annual appr. rate-25.0%/yr
Vehicle History Signals
- Auction lots tracked50
- Damage or salvage declared0 (0.0%)
- No damage declared50 (100.0%)
Est. Annual Ownership Costs
- Insurance (agreed value)$1,220
- Maintenance$3,050
- Storage$4,870
- Depreciation$8,930
- Total annual cost$18,070
For sale now · 1 live
All live dealsMarket Liquidity
- Active Listings0
- Sales Last 12 Months0
Market Snapshot
- Active Listings0
- Avg Sale Price—
- Avg Mileage at Sale—
- Recent Price Range—
- Total Sales Tracked0
Recent sales
Indicative only — not investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future value.
