Ford Falcon FPV GT

The Ford Falcon FPV GT has retreated 21 percent over the past twelve months and is now trading near a median of $23,513 in the US market, a signal that demand has softened considerably for this Australian-market performance sedan.

Liquidity remains severely constrained, with no recorded transactions in our tracking sample over the past year. The absence of sales data makes it difficult to assess transaction momentum, though the declining median valuation suggests that asking prices are adjusting downward in response to weak buyer interest.

The FPV GT occupies a challenging position in the collector market. Classified as an appreciating classic with a collectibility score of 6, the model carries low desirability in the US, where Australian domestic performance cars have never commanded sustained enthusiasm. Production volume data is not available, but the car's regional exclusivity and limited export footprint work against its long-term collectibility prospects.

The outlook for the next three to five years reflects substantial headwinds. The base projection model forecasts a decline to $13,793 by year three—a 41 percent drop from current levels—and a further erosion to $11,734 by year five, representing a cumulative loss of half its current value. These projections assume continued pressure from low desirability and illiquid market conditions.

Current owners and prospective buyers should approach this model with caution. The combination of illiquidity, weak demand signals, and steep downside projections suggests waiting for stabilization or considering exit strategies rather than accumulation.