Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution X
2007–2016
Lowest price
US$16,000
Since 2020
Median price
US$17,250
Since 2020 · n=2
Highest price
US$18,500
Since 2020
Sold cars
2
All time
Sell-through
100%
Of 2 lots

Based on 2 verified auction results
US$21,615
Market value · recent verified sales
+25.0%
12-month change
Hold or Wait
Appreciating but pace slowing. Patient buyers may find better entry.
Median sold price up 25.0% over the last 12 months. Hold if owned; chasing the trend at peak carries risk.
MSRP
—
Collectibility
5/10
Collectible
3-Year Forecast
US$36,597
+69%
5-Year Forecast
US$43,657
+102%
Estimates pool 9 verified sales across United Kingdom, Australia, United States — cross-market prices FX-adjusted at Jul 2026 rates.
Market scores
31
Desirability
Illiquid
10
Liquidity
Excellent
85
Resale Outlook
Option premiums
What every option is worth.
Built ≤ 2010
−US$2,191-10%6 with · 3 without · low confidence
Premiums compare the median price of sales with each option against comparable sales without it, mined from verified auction listings. Sales are pooled across markets on a relative-price basis, so exchange rates and market levels can't skew the split. Options interact in ways a one-at-a-time split can’t capture — treat each premium as directional rather than gospel.
Marque analyst note
The Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution X has climbed to a median price of $21,615 in the US market, up 25 percent over the past year. This appreciation sits well ahead of broader market trends, though the signal remains Hold given the thin liquidity backdrop and still-emerging collectibility status.
Transaction activity remains extremely limited, with only two sales tracked over the twelve-month period. That sparse volume means price discovery is uncertain and individual deals can skew reported medians, making it difficult to act with confidence on either side of the market right now.
The typical Evo X changing hands shows approximately 96,650 miles on the odometer, suggesting most transacted examples are mid-life specimens rather than low-mileage investments. Condition and service history likely carry outsized weight in negotiations when so few cars trade hands.
The model carries a Collectible rating despite low current desirability, reflecting its status as a final-generation performance sedan in a segment now dominated by turbocharged four-cylinders and SUVs. As supply shrinks and driving enthusiasts seek affordable manual-transmission alternatives, baseline appeal may strengthen over time.
The base case projects the median to reach $36,597 within three years and $43,657 within five years, implying roughly 70 percent and 100 percent total appreciation respectively. That trajectory assumes steady demand from the growing pool of affordable JDM enthusiasts, though thinly traded markets can reverse course quickly.
Current illiquidity and zero active listings suggest patient sellers hold the advantage. Buyers should expect extended search timelines and may encounter motivated private sellers before dealer or auction inventory materializes significantly.
Depreciation Benchmark
- Current avg valueUS$21,615
- Annual appr. rate+25.0%/yr
Vehicle History Signals
- Auction lots tracked10
- Damage or salvage declared0 (0.0%)
- No damage declared10 (100.0%)
Est. Annual Ownership Costs
- Insurance (agreed value)US$600
- MaintenanceUS$1,210
- StorageUS$3,220
- Depreciation— (appreciating)
- Total annual costUS$5,030
For sale now · 1 live
All live dealsMarket Liquidity
- Active Listings0
- Sales Last 12 Months2
- Sell-Through100%
Market Snapshot
- Active Listings0
- Avg Sale PriceUS$17,250
- Avg Mileage at Sale96,650 mi
- Recent Price RangeUS$16,000 – US$18,500
- Total Sales Tracked2
Recent sales
Indicative only — not investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future value.
