Holden HSV GTS (VY)
2003–2004
US$78,903
Market value · recent verified sales
+11.5%
12-month change
Hold or Wait
Appreciating but pace slowing. Patient buyers may find better entry.
Median sold price up 11.5% over the last 12 months. Hold if owned; chasing the trend at peak carries risk.
Modelled estimate — automatically replaced with verified sold lots as our sources index more results for this car in United States.
MSRP
—
Collectibility
5/10
Collectible
3-Year Forecast
US$101,790
+29%
5-Year Forecast
US$110,628
+40%
Estimates based on 4 verified United States sales.
Market scores
20
Desirability
Illiquid
10
Liquidity
Good
70
Resale Outlook
Marque analyst note
The Holden HSV GTS VY sits at a median of $78,903 in the US market, having climbed 11.5 percent over the past twelve months. However, this gain comes on the back of essentially no transaction data—zero tracked sales in the past year—leaving the price signal difficult to validate and confidence in current levels low.
The illiquid market for this Australian-market muscle car creates a genuine friction point for buyers and sellers alike. With no active listings and zero recent transactions in our sample, pricing discovery is inherently weak, and any listed example would face an uncertain path to sale in the US collector market.
Classified as a stable modern classic with a collectibility score of 5, the HSV GTS VY occupies a narrow niche. The model benefits from genuine rarity outside its home market and a cult following among enthusiasts, but mainstream US demand remains limited, which directly constrains both supply flow and buyer interest.
The 3-year projection stands at $101,790, a 29 percent gain from current levels, while the 5-year base case reaches $110,628, or 40.2 percent appreciation. These forecasts rest primarily on continued scarcity and gradual appreciation of modern performance icons, rather than on strong transactional evidence or shifting market sentiment.
Owners should regard their position as a long-hold play with patience required. The lack of liquidity means exit timing will matter significantly, and any sale will likely require either geographic expansion of the search radius or acceptance of negotiation friction. The HOLD recommendation reflects the car's stable fundamentals balanced against real-world illiquidity and the need for more transaction data to confirm trend strength.
Depreciation Benchmark
- Current avg valueUS$78,903
- Annual appr. rate+11.5%/yr
Est. Annual Ownership Costs
- Insurance (agreed value)US$600
- MaintenanceUS$2,010
- StorageUS$3,220
- Depreciation— (appreciating)
- Total annual costUS$5,830
Market Liquidity
- Active Listings0
- Sales Last 12 Months0
Market Snapshot
- Active Listings0
- Avg Sale Price—
- Avg Mileage at Sale—
- Recent Price Range—
- Total Sales Tracked0
Recent sales
Indicative only — not investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future value.