Holden HSV GTS (VY)
2003–2004
Lowest price
$21,750
Since 2020
Median price
$119,550
Since 2020 · n=4
Highest price
$195,000
Since 2020
Sold cars
4
All time
Sell-through
100%
Of 4 lots
Based on 4 verified auction results
$119,550
Market value · recent verified sales
+11.5%
12-month change
Hold or Wait
Appreciating but pace slowing. Patient buyers may find better entry.
Median sold price up 11.5% over the last 12 months. Hold if owned; chasing the trend at peak carries risk.
MSRP
—
Collectibility
5/10
Collectible
3-Year Forecast
$154,227
+29%
5-Year Forecast
$167,618
+40%
Estimates based on 4 verified Australia sales.
Market scores
36
Desirability
Thin
30
Liquidity
Good
70
Resale Outlook
Marque analyst note
The Holden HSV GTS VY is currently trading at a median of $119,550 AUD, up 11.5% over the past twelve months—a solid gain that signals sustained interest despite thin market depth. With only four sales tracked in the year, this is a low-confidence read on broader sentiment, and the absence of active listings suggests neither urgency nor panic in the current market.
This is a stable modern classic with low desirability in a collectible tier, meaning it occupies a niche position that appeals to domestic enthusiasts rather than international collectors. Production volume data is not available, but the VY generation's relative youth and Australian-market focus limits its reach outside its home market, which naturally constrains both demand and liquidity.
The thin liquidity environment means buyers and sellers should expect longer holding periods and limited negotiating leverage when a sale does occur. With only four transactions in twelve months, any single sale can disproportionately move the median, so recent price movements warrant careful interpretation.
Looking ahead, the base case projects a climb to approximately $154,200 AUD over three years and $167,600 AUD over five years—representing 29% and 40% gains respectively from current levels. These projections rest on the assumption that the car's standing as a locally significant modern classic continues to attract a steady if narrow buyer pool.
The HOLD signal reflects confidence in the underlying direction but acknowledges real uncertainty around the pace of appreciation given the sparse transaction record. Prospective buyers should recognize this as a patient holding play rather than a liquid asset, and sellers should expect to wait for the right buyer rather than chase quick exits.
Depreciation Benchmark
- Current avg value$119,550
- Annual appr. rate+11.5%/yr
Est. Annual Ownership Costs
- Insurance (agreed value)$910
- Maintenance$3,050
- Storage$4,870
- Depreciation— (appreciating)
- Total annual cost$8,830
Market Liquidity
- Active Listings0
- Sales Last 12 Months0
- Sell-Through0%
Market Snapshot
- Active Listings0
- Avg Sale Price$113,962
- Avg Mileage at Sale—
- Recent Price Range$21,750 – $195,000
- Total Sales Tracked4
Recent sales
Indicative only — not investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future value.