BMW M4 (G82)

The BMW M4 G82 has declined 14 percent year-over-year to a current median of $68,500, roughly 38 percent below its $110,000 list price. The downward pressure reflects broad depreciation in the modern performance segment, with a SELL signal indicating near-term softness.

Transaction volume remains thin, with only six sales tracked over the past twelve months and one active listing at present. This sparse liquidity means buyers have limited inventory to choose from, but sellers may face extended marketing periods to move stock.

The average mileage on transacted examples stands at 16,233 miles, suggesting these cars have seen light use despite their young age. This low-mileage profile is typical for modern M-series cars held by early adopters or collectors who drive sparingly.

The G82 carries a collectibility score of 3, reflecting modest demand and low desirability in the current market. Without significant production constraints or historical precedent for appreciation, this generation lacks the foundation to reverse course in the near term.

Projections suggest continued erosion, with the base case pointing to $61,860 at three years (down 9.7 percent) and $61,242 at five years (down 10.6 percent). The flattening between year three and year five suggests the model may stabilize once the initial depreciation cycle normalizes, though the trajectory remains downward over the forecast window.