BMW M4 (G82)

The BMW M4 G82 has shed roughly 10.6 percent of its value over the past year, settling at a median of US$88,600 against an original US$110,000 MSRP—a steeper decline than typical new-car depreciation cycles might suggest.

Our tracking sample remains thin, with only four transactions recorded over the past twelve months, which limits statistical confidence but does reflect genuinely sparse market activity for this model. The sparse liquidity underscores a mismatch between supply and collector appetite for the current generation.

Recent cars that have sold carry exceptionally low mileage, averaging around 11,000 miles, indicating most transacted examples are nearly new. This preserves some functional value but has not arrested the downward price pressure in a cooling new-car market.

The G82 sits in a modest-demand tier with low collector desirability, typical of contemporary high-performance variants that lack historical provenance or production scarcity. Modern M-cars built in substantial volumes struggle to command premium pricing once they leave the new-car window, and this generation is no exception.

Looking ahead, the base case assumes a further 9.7 percent decline to around US$80,000 over three years, with minimal additional loss expected between year three and year five. The near-term outlook hinges on whether broader interest in turbocharged M-sport sedans stabilizes or continues eroding as the model ages into its second half-decade.

Current holders should expect continued softness unless significant collector re-evaluation occurs, which seems unlikely given the G82's positioning as an attainable performance sedan rather than a limited-production icon.