Toyota Supra (Mk4) Turbo

The Toyota Supra Mk4 Turbo median has fallen to $72,098, down 18.1% over the past year, signaling a clear departure from its appreciating-classic trajectory. This reversal carries a sell signal with high confidence, though the narrow sample of nine transactions in the last twelve months warrants some caution in drawing broad conclusions about market direction.

With only 23 total sales tracked across all periods, liquidity remains thin, making both entry and exit potentially difficult for buyers and sellers. The sparse transaction volume means pricing can shift meaningfully on limited activity, and securing a buyer or seller at fair value may require patience or price adjustment.

The Mk4 Supra's collectibility score of 7 reflects its status as a highly sought platform, supported by a modest global production run of 11,239 units. However, moderate desirability relative to its cult status suggests the market has begun to differentiate between the model's legendary reputation and actual acquisition demand at current levels.

The typical car tracked shows 57,435 miles, indicating that most examples in the secondary market have accumulated meaningful use. This mileage profile is reasonable for the model's age but sits high enough that condition premiums are likely at play in any transaction.

Base case projections show accelerating depreciation through the medium term: a 36.4% decline to $45,873 by year three, and a 44.6% drop to $39,953 by year five. These downside forecasts reflect both the recent momentum loss and the shift away from broad appreciation, suggesting the market is recalibrating what these cars are worth relative to peak enthusiasm of 2020–2023.